Climate News originally shared this post:
New forecasting system appeared to accurately forecast the US Summer heat wave.
Luo and Zhang in GRL: "We found that starting from April 2011, the operational CFSv2 forecast consistently suggested an elevated probability of extremely hot days during the forthcoming summer over the Central Plains, and as the summer was approaching the forecast became more certain about the summer heat wave in its geographic location, intensity and timing. This study demonstrates the capability of the new seasonal forecast system and its potential usefulness in decision making process."
For more information about CFSv2 see http://cfs.ncep.noaa.gov/cfsv2.info/
h/t David Appell at http://davidappell.blogspot.co.uk/2012/05/interesting-new-research.html
Geophysical Research Letters publishes short, concise research letters that present scientific advances that are likely to have immediate influence on the research of other investigators. GRL letters …